With the rehearsals for the 2024 Eurovision Song Contest only a day out, speculation about who the qualifiers will be is heating up. We thought we’d have a go at prediction who we think will qualify to next months final.
The prediction are based on the vibes from national finals and pre-parties to see if our estimates will change before and after the rehearsals. To come up with our predictions for who will qualify, we’ve aggregated a number of the site members’ predictions; so this does not reflect a single individual’s thoughts.
Semi Final One Qualifiers
| Running Order | Country | Artist | Entry | Qualification Status | Placing |
| 1 | 🇨🇾 Cyprus | Silia Kapsis | “Liar” | Not Qualified | 11th |
| 2 | 🇷🇸 Serbia | Teya Dora | “Ramonda” | Qualified | 9th |
| 3 | 🇱🇹 Lithuania | Silvester Belt | “Luktelk” | Qualified | 3rd |
| 4 | 🇮🇪 Ireland | Bambie Thug | “Doomsday Blue” | Qualified | 10th |
| 5 | 🇺🇦 Ukraine | alyona alyona & Jerry Heil | “Teresa & Maria” | Qualified | 2nd |
| 6 | 🇵🇱 Poland | Luna | “The Tower” | Qualified | 5th |
| 7 | 🇭🇷 Croatia | Baby Lasagna | “Rim Tim Tagi Dim” | Qualified | 1st |
| 8 | 🇮🇸 Iceland | Hera Björk | “Scared of Heights” | Not Qualified | 13th |
| 9 | 🇸🇮 Slovenia | Raiven | “Veronika” | Qualified | 6th |
| 10 | 🇫🇮 Finland | Windows95Man | “No Rules” | Qualified | 4th |
| 11 | 🇲🇩 Moldova | Natalia Barbu | “In The Middle” | Not Qualified | 15th |
| 12 | 🇦🇿 Azerbaijan | Fahree feat. Ilkin Dovlatov | “Özünlə apar” | Not Qualified | 13th |
| 13 | 🇦🇺 Australia | Electric Fields | “One Milkali (One Blood” | Not Qualified | 12th |
| 14 | 🇵🇹 Portugal | iolanda | “Grito” | Qualified | 8th |
| 15 | 🇱🇺 Luxembourg | Tali | “Fighter” | Qualified | 7th |
For our semi final one prediction we believe that Cyprus, Iceland, Moldova, Azerbaijan, and Australia will fail to make the final; with Ireland narrowly beating Cyprus out for the 10th and final qualification spot. At this time we think that the top three will consist of Lithuania, Ukraine, and Croatia.
Semi Final Two Qualifiers
| Running Order | Country | Artist | Entry | Qualification Status | Placing |
| 1 | 🇲🇹 Malta | Sarah Bonnici | “Loop” | Not Qualified | 14th |
| 2 | 🇦🇱 Albania | Besa | “Titan” | Not Qualified | 16th |
| 3 | 🇬🇷 Greece | Marina Satti | “Zari” | Qualified | 6th |
| 4 | 🇨🇭 Switzerland | Nemo | “The Code” | Qualified | 1st |
| 5 | 🇨🇿 Czechia | Aiko | “Pedestal” | Not Qualified | 11th |
| 6 | 🇦🇹 Austria | Kaleen | “We Will Rave” | Not Qualified | 12th |
| 7 | 🇩🇰 Denmark | SABA | “Sand” | Qualified | 8th |
| 8 | 🇦🇲 Armenia | Ladaniva | “Jako” | Qualified | 5th |
| 9 | 🇱🇻 Latvia | Dons | “Hollow” | Not Qualified | 15th |
| 10 | 🇸🇲 San Marino | Megara | “11:11” | Not Qualified | 13th |
| 11 | 🇬🇪 Georgia | Nutsa Buzaladze | “Firefighter” | Qualified | 8th |
| 12 | 🇧🇪 Belgium | Mustii | “Before The Party’s Over” | Qualified | 10th |
| 13 | 🇪🇪 Estonia | 5miinust and Puuluup | “”(Nendest) narkootikumidest ei tea me (küll) midagi” | Qualified | 7th |
| 14 | Israel | Eden Golan | “Hurricane” | Qualified | 4th |
| 15 | 🇳🇴 Norway | Gåte | “Ulveham” | Qualified | 3rd |
| 16 | 🇳🇱 Netherlands | Joost Klein | “Europapa” | Qualified | 2nd |
For our semi final two prediction we believe that Malta, Albania, Czechia, Austria, Latvia, and San Marino will fail to make the final; with Belgium narrowly beating Czechia out for the 10th and final qualification spot. At this time we think that the top three will consist of Norway, The Netherlands, and Switzerland.
The story of Eurovision 2024 so far…
The Nordic country will host the 68th edition of the competition. This is after Loreen’s historic win at Eurovision 2023 in Liverpool. One month after the 2023 contest took place, SVT revealed the first names of the Core Team that will work on the competition. SVT completed the team in September.
In July 2023, after a shortlist of four cities, it was announced that Malmö would host Eurovision 2024. The city will spend up to €2.5 million for the contest. Additionally, they will have 600 volunteers working for the show.
As for the upcoming contest, there will be 37 countries participating. Luxembourg will be returning, whilst Romania withdraws. ‘United By Music’ will be the permanent slogan for the contest. The upcoming contest will have ‘The Eurovision Lights’ as the theme art. The stage, designed by Florian Wieder and Fredrik Stormby was revealed in December.
What do you think about our predictions for who the qualifiers will be? Do any come as a shock to you? As always, let us know what you think by commenting below. As always, let us know what you think by commenting below. Also, be sure to follow ‘That Eurovision Site’ on Twitter, Facebook, Instagram, TikTok, Threads and Bluesky as we head towards rehearsals for Eurovision 2024!
Information Source: That Eurovision Site
Image Credit: Elizabeta Ruzic & Ella Mettler
